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Next Conservative Party (UK) leadership election

 

Next Conservative Party (UK) leadership election

Conservative Party (UK) leadership election


Incumbent Leader

David Cameron

During the 2015 general election campaign, David Cameron, the current Leader of the Conservative Party, announced that he would not seek a third term and is therefore expected to stand down before the next general election,[1] which would trigger the next Conservative Party leadership election. Although it is not known when the election would take place, the winner would also succeed Cameron as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, due to the Conservative Party currently being the majority party in the House of Commons.[2]

Contents

  • Candidates 1
    • Publicly expressed interest 1.1
    • Potential 1.2
    • Declined 1.3
  • Opinion polling 2
  • References 3
  • See also 4

Candidates

Publicly expressed interest

As of October 2015, the following potential candidates have publicly expressed interest in running for party leader.

Potential

As of October 2015, the following individuals have received speculation as potential leadership candidates.

Cabinet ministers
Junior ministers
Backbench MPs

Declined

The following individuals have been the focus of media speculation as being possible leadership candidates, but have since ruled out a bid.

Opinion polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Michael
Gove
Philip
Hammond
Jeremy
Hunt
Sajid
Javid
Boris
Johnson
Theresa
May
Nicky
Morgan
George
Osborne
Liam
Fox
Other/
Undecided
ConservativeHome[17] September 2015 ConservativeHome readers[1] 6% 2% 17% 14% 15% 1% 32% 12%
Ipsos MORI[18] 19–23 September 2015 395 Conservative voters[2] 4% 3% 29% 18% 32% 12%
1,255 British residents[3] 3% 4% 27% 17% 15% 34%
Survation/Huffington Post UK[19][20] 21–22 September 2015 303 Conservative voters[2] 30% 16% 25% 29%
1,008 British residents[3] 3% 2% 2% 3% 25% 11% 2% 15% 37%
ConservativeHome[21] August 2015 842 ConservativeHome readers[1] 5% 3% 18% 12% 15% 1% 33% 13%
ConservativeHome[22] July 2015 Over 700 ConservativeHome readers[1] 4% 2% 19% 17% 13% 1% 31% 14%
ConservativeHome[23] June 2015 Around 900 ConservativeHome readers[1] 4% 3% 23% 23% 13% 1% 22% 11%
ConservativeHome[24] May 2015 706 ConservativeHome readers[1] 4.3% 1.2% 3.1% 17% 21% 14.5% 1.1% 15.3% 8% 13%
  1. ^ a b c d e ConservativeHome readers responding to a survey.
  2. ^ a b People who are likely to vote Conservative in next general election.
  3. ^ a b Residents over 18 in Great Britain.

References

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Kirkup, James (25 March 2015). "By 2020, the Conservative Party leader will be... not who you expect". Daily Telegraph. 
  2. ^ "Election results: Conservatives win majority". BBC News. 8 May 2015. 
  3. ^ Frances Perraudin (1 November 2015). "Tory MP reveals he smoked marijuana and watched online porn". The Guardian. 
  4. ^ Rowena Mason (13 August 2015). "Boris Johnson hints at Conservative leadership vacancy from 2018". The Guardian. 
  5. ^ Frances Perraudin (1 October 2015). "Nicky Morgan considers standing for Tory leader when Cameron quits". The Guardian. 
  6. ^ Decca Aitkenhead (5 October 2012). "Michael Gove: the next Tory leader?". The Guardian. 
  7. ^ a b c d e f g h Craig Woodhouse (4 October 2015). "At least 20 Tories are lining up to replace Cameron". The Sun. 
  8. ^ "Jeremy Hunt: the next Tory leader?". The Guardian. 19 February 2014. 
  9. ^ Gaby Hinsliff (3 February 2015). "Can Theresa May make it to the top?". The Guardian. 
  10. ^ Lynsey Barber (8 July 2015). "July Budget 2015: George Osborne biggest Budget winner as chancellor becomes favourite for next Tory leader". CityAM. 
  11. ^ Andrew Gimson (6 March 2014). "Andrew Gimson profiles Liz Truss, seen by some as a future Tory leader". ConservativeHome. 
  12. ^ Jane Merrick (9 May 2015). "Election 2015: Who could replace David Cameron as leader of the Tory party?". The Independent. 
  13. ^ "Conservative leadership race: Who could replace David Cameron?". Daily Telegraph. 24 March 2015. 
  14. ^ "Liam Fox overtakes Theresa May in Tory leadership poll". The Commentator. 4 August 2015. 
  15. ^ Josh May (1 October 2015). "Owen Paterson develops checklist for future Tory leader candidates". PoliticsHome. 
  16. ^ Owen Bennett (4 October 2015). "Watch Sajid Javid Rule Out Standing In The Tory Leadership Contest When David Cameron Quits". HuffPost UK. 
  17. ^ Paul Goodman (5 October 2015). "As he prepares to make his speech, Osborne leads our future leader survey for the third month running". ConservativeHome. 
  18. ^ "Boris Johnson most popular prospective Conservative leader". Ipsos MORI. 1 October 2015. 
  19. ^ "Conservative Party Conference Poll" (PDF). Survation. 5 October 2015. 
  20. ^ Paul Waugh (1 October 2015). "Boris Johnson Is The Public's Choice As Next Tory Leader, Huffington Post UK/Survation Poll Finds". HuffPost UK. 
  21. ^ Paul Goodman (1 September 2015). "For the second month running, Osborne has a big lead in our future leader survey". ConservativeHome. 
  22. ^ Peter Hoskin (4 August 2015). "Osborne springs ahead of Boris and Javid in our latest leadership poll". ConservativeHome. 
  23. ^ Paul Goodman (7 July 2015). "Boris, Javid and Osborne battle it out to head our future leadership survey". ConservativeHome. 
  24. ^ Paul Goodman (3 June 2015). "Sajid Javid leaps to second place and Osborne to third in our next Tory leader survey". ConservativeHome. 

See also

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